step 3.3 Data of one’s signal out-of assumption problems for premature fees

step 3.3 Data of one’s signal out-of assumption problems for premature fees

See that in the event the personal exposure (q) knows the benefit regarding the contract becomes 0. Next just the inspired debtors often pay off early, in case your ex lover article interest rate stays highest. However in possible regarding a lessening interest all of the debtors have a tendency to pay-off very early. The individuals to own which the benefit from the price stays b commonly pay-off early and take upwards a different sort of borrowing within less interest rate. The rest, for just who the non-public risk keeps understood will additionally pay early. To them the brand new acquire about price would-be 0.

They reinvests the latest reduced mortgage in one interest since the the credit price

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In the model a risk premium exists only for the first credit and not for the second credit. If the debtor takes up the second credit at the low interest rate ( \(_<2l>)\) the interest rate cannot-by assumption-decline any more in future. The bank cannot impose a risk premium on the second credit, because the bank has no damage if the second credit is also prematurely repaid. In the real world it would however recover its handling costs, which are in the model assumed to be 0. This assumption avoids an infinite regress for the calculation of the risk premium without affecting the main point of the analysis. Otherwise, the calculation for the risk premium of the second contract would require the possibility of a third contract and so forth.

Now assume that the first credit is taken up not in the high interest period but in a low interest period \(_<1>=_<1,l>\) . In that case the future, post contractual interest rate can by assumption not further decline. It is either unchanged or higher. Therefore, in this case the only risk of the bank is that the personal risk q realizes. But a damage cannot occur, because an early repayment allows the bank to either invest the money at the same rate or at an even higher rate. We can therefore exclude this case from further consideration. The expected gain of the debtor from the contract is then

If the exposure premium is included explicitly, we get towards asked obtain away from a cards price, that has been finished throughout the a premier interest several months

It constellation regarding design, in which the early installment out-of credit reasons zero injuries and you will for that reason zero rate of interest mark up is not further noticed into the listed here investigation.

If the legal remedy for early repayment is expectation damages the damage from early repayment loan places Stepping Stone is the difference between the contractual and the post-contractual interest rate \(_<1>-_<2>\) . The bank can invest the repaid money at an interest rate of \(_<2>\) . It can, for instance, buy mortgage bonds on the secondary age payment results if and only if \(_<1>>_<2>\) . Otherwise the differential method of damage calculation results in a damage award of zero. The compensation payment is therefore

Let us now assume that after the conclusion of the contract the market interest rate falls, but the benefit from the contract remains at b. We get an outcome which is different in comparison with the result under a right of premature repayment. The debtor wants to end the contract and take out a new mortgage at the low interest rate. With expectation damages as remedy for breach of contract her gain would be \((b-_<2>)-\left( _<1>-_<2>\right)=b-_<1>\) . The term in the first bracket is the consumer’s gain from the new mortgage contract and the term in the second bracket denotes the amount of damages to be paid. The early repayment motivated by the lower interest rate does not result in a gain that is higher than the gain from performance of the contract as originally concluded. Therefore, no early repayment results for taking up a new credit if interest rates decrease after contract formation (Table 2).

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